CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2019-05-13T16:09:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2019-05-13T16:09ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14752/-1
CME Note: Signature is very weak and difficult to discern exact time. From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: Around ~21 hrs on the May 16, there is a monotonic change in the magnetic field direction that can be associated with a flux rope signature.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T16:10Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-05-16T17:30Z (-12.0h, +12.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: Other (SIDC)
Prediction Method Note: Lead Time: 53.15 hour(s)
Difference: -1.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2019-05-14T11:01Z
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